Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 4.109816 4.424399 4.761782 5.152305 5.594142 6.081212 6.662477
2025-05-04 3.668895 4.120643 4.638652 5.284267 6.078533 7.039222 8.314165
2025-05-11 3.344542 3.857937 4.472503 5.277369 6.327517 7.687949 9.651043
2025-05-18 3.115667 3.667804 4.351102 5.282023 6.556987 8.309001 11.036182
2025-05-25 2.868899 3.425942 4.131792 5.121428 6.526755 8.547826 11.892114
2025-06-01 2.680740 3.240534 3.964438 5.005206 6.531791 8.821109 12.837184
2025-06-08 2.564751 3.138498 3.895853 5.013211 6.708825 9.369122 14.352315
2025-06-15 2.490820 3.085451 3.886765 5.100622 7.009314 10.153082 16.492656
2025-06-22 2.339675 2.917584 3.705252 4.916105 6.858771 10.149983 17.088187
2025-06-29 2.221129 2.788029 3.569439 4.788488 6.784627 10.266305 17.960583
2025-07-06 2.117478 2.673811 3.448554 4.673659 6.718149 10.383745 18.865544
2025-07-13 2.050283 2.607383 3.392751 4.655089 6.811158 10.811776 20.633257
2025-07-20 2.013675 2.587174 3.410171 4.765133 7.161250 11.848382 24.509390
2025-07-27 1.978055 2.567274 3.427947 4.879789 7.541195 13.049801 29.642752
2025-08-03 1.916308 2.505354 3.376906 4.873597 7.692150 13.786389 33.864118
2025-08-10 1.862066 2.451542 3.334606 4.877714 7.862344 14.609116 39.093220
2025-08-17 1.779693 2.351708 3.214225 4.735429 7.720251 14.634227 41.161644
2025-08-24 1.711507 2.270611 3.119650 4.632284 7.647651 14.826018 44.209583
2025-08-31 1.671103 2.230072 3.087876 4.639393 7.807322 15.674761 51.464784
2025-09-07 1.647471 2.214074 3.094669 4.716975 8.129190 17.072679 64.126493
2025-09-14 1.578263 2.124701 2.976584 4.553109 7.893587 16.769711 65.331966
2025-09-21 1.522448 2.054542 2.887708 4.439553 7.762653 16.769125 69.003094
2025-09-28 1.471770 1.990862 2.807158 4.337221 7.648039 16.800581 73.191661